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This section is here to educate and inform about the odds
and probabilities of modern casino
games. In our analyses and comparisons, you may learn
which games offer the best odds for the player, which ones
offer the worst, and exactly how to arrive at these conclusions.
Hopefully, after a bit of study, you will gain the necessary
insight to even the house's edge.
Odds Primer
Before going deeper into each casino game, it is important to know
exactly what odds are. Odds refer to mathematics in that they represent
a basic probability of a potential outcome and are usually expressed
in a decimal or fractional format. A well-known example is the traditional
coin toss before a football game. By flipping a two-sided coin, you
know that there are exactly two possible outcomes (unless by a quirk
of fate the coin comes to rest on edge): heads or tails. The probability
of the coin landing heads up is one out of two, expressed 1 to 2 as
a ratio. Another way to express the odds of a coin toss outcome is
in percentages. Ask anybody what the odds are, and they will likely
reply: "Fifty-fifty." This refers to the 50% chance that
either head or tails will result.
Just like a coin has two sides, a roulette wheel has 37 or 38 slots,
a standard playing deck has 52 cards, and a die has six sides. These
numbers and the various results of each play represent the probabilities
of the games. It is easy to see how math and odds are very much a
part of casino gambling. While most players are busy having a toss
of the dice at craps tables, they rarely stop to consider the actual
math behind their throw, and how placing certain bets will either
increase or decrease their overall expectation of winning. Smart gamblers
realize that there are strategic ways to bet and play certain casino
games that will make all the difference. They also know that if you're
goal is to walk away a winner, certain games should be avoided. With
that in mind, we'll begin to explore which games offer the best odds.
Best Odds, Worst Odds
Most everyone, from the total beginner on up to the professional,
knows that casinos are an entertainment business that makes money
off of its players. How are new billion dollar resorts built? From
the combined defecit of the players. Every casino game has an inherent
advantage for the casino known as the "house edge." This
percentage represents how much the casino
expects to make from every betting unit wagered. For example, the
house edge in double zero roulette is 5.6 percent. So, for every
100 credits wagered, you can expect to lose 5.60. This may not seem
like a lot, but several important factors must also be considered.
Let's say you're playing blackjack at 25 credits a hand, and the
table is averaging 60 hands played per hour. Multiply 25 times 60
hands and you are playing through 1,500 credits an hour. Let's say
you play for four hours. That means that you play through about
6,000 of which the casino expects to grab 0.8 percent - if you're
playing perfect basic strategy. This amounts to a loss of only 48
credits - which isn't that bad - making Blackjack one of the better
options for players. Consider how much the house would expect to
gain by your playing Roulette for the same amount of time. Roulette
is a slightly slower paced game, with maybe a round every couple
minutes or so, and not many players are quite avid enough to spend
four hours at a table. But, for arguments sake, we will examine
that at a rate of 30 rounds per hour with a flat bet of 25 credits,
playing for four hours, an online
casino would expect to make 157.80 from your play. Again you
might say, well that's not an overly exaggerated amount to expect
to lose during a session at a casino, but keep in mind that it's
playing over time that makes it add up. Twenty such sessions a year
would set you back 3,156 credits and multiply that by the number
of years you plan to play, and you'll see that it really does add
up.
Great Expectations
Some people gamble at a casino for the fun and excitement that this
unique form of entertainment delivers. That is perfectly fine, as
gambling can be a very enjoyable hobby. This type of player doesn't
mind parting with a small chunk of change because they can rationalize
the experience in saying it was the price paid for a little fun.
This is perfectly fine if that person is an occasional player, or
if they hadn't ever really planned to devote the time to studying
the games or taking steps to ensure you actually win money during
sessions. However, the truth is that most players prefer to win,
and there are proven ways to dramatically reduce your chances of
losing - namely by not playing games with bad odds - like keno.
Keno carries one of the highest house advantages of all games, weighing
in at a hefty 25%. This is actually as good as the odds get for
keno, with the odds varying from casino to casino. Next time you're
at a casino, stop by the keno lounge simply to observe. Chances
are you'll find a lot of tourists and other people who really don't
look like they know how to play any real games, perhaps there for
the comfy chairs, lottery-like appeal, and relaxing pace of the
game. This is about all the game offers, so please don't waste any
money on it.
Looking at the game chart (above and to the right), you'll notice
that Craps, Blackjack,
and Baccarat offer the smallest house advantage. These are the games
you should focus on. Coincidentally, Craps and Blackjack are two
of the most fun games to play (at least in my opinion), and this
makes their study feel less like actual study and more like fun.
If you already know a thing or two about blackjack, then you probably
know that it is one of the only games where a skilled player can
not only eliminate the house edge, but go a step further by creating
a player's edge. How is this possible? Learning basic strategy to
perfection is the first step. Next is becoming a knowledgeable and
accurate card counter. Lastly, adjusting bets and hand decisions
based on the count while masking your expertise to the dealer, pit
personnel, and preferably other players. Unless you are already
a natural genius at math, this will likely take hundreds of hours
of practice. Few ever make it to the level of professional blackjack
player. If you are able to someday acquire this elite status, you
can expect to have an edge over the house at somewhere between 0.5
and 2 percent. Again, you might say this doesn't seem like a lot.
It's time my friend, time that makes things add up. A professional
player can expect to make in the neighborhood of 30 units per hour
playing blackjack, depending on betting level. This is a lot more
than minimum wage, but it is not a salary by which millionaires
are made either.
This is just an example of one way to make smart play work for you.
Instead of giving up a big advantage to the house playing a game
like keno, try learning basic Blackjack or Craps strategy and you'll
likely notice a decrease in your losses and an increase in your
winnings right off the bat. Focusing on low house edge games like
online blackjack, craps, etc is the smartest play when it comes
to online casino gambling.
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Game
House Edge
Craps (double odds)
0.60%
Blackjack
0.80%
Baccarat (banker)
1.17%
Baccarat (player)
1.63%
Pai Gow Poker
2.5%
Roulette (single zero)
2.7%
Three-Card Poker
3.4%
Let It Ride
3.5%
Sportsbook Betting
4.5%
Caribbean Stud Poker
5.26%
Roulette (double zero)
5.6%
Big 6 Wheel
11.1% to 24%
Keno
25%
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