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Jimmy Boyd of Boyd's Bets
Major League Baseball
Detroit / San Diego UNDER 8
I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in Friday's series opener between the Tigers and Padres. Detroit will send out one of the few bright spots to this season in second-year starter Michael Fulmer, who is tied for 5th in baseball with 11 quality starts (13 total starts). Fulmer has a 3.45 ERA and 1.186 WHIP overall, but has been much better on the road, where he owns a 2.30 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in 6 starts. His ERA over his last 3 is 6.50, but he was sharp in his last outing, giving up just 3 runs in 6 2/3 against the Rays. He's also facing a Padres offense that has scored a whopping 6 runs in their last 4 games combined.
San Diego will counter with Luis Perdomo, who has pitched at least 6 innings and allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4 of his last 5 starts - the only exception coming in a road start against a potent Diamondbacks offense in one of the most hitter friendly parks. In fact, Arizona are the only team to put more than 3 earned runs on the board against Perdomo this season.
UNDER is 21-7 in the Padres' last 28 home games after scoring 4 run or fewer in 4 straight games, 4-0-1 in the Tigers' last 5 interleague road games against right-handed starters, and 5-1 in Perdomo's last 6 starts after he allowed 2 runs or fewer in his previous outing. Take the UNDER!
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