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Video Poker Game Odds
Video Poker odds are very similar to those of regular poker
in that the probability of receiving a particular hand is
the same. Video Poker is also like straight poker in that
there are many variants found. So what are the main factors
that determine whether or not you will walk away a winner?
First, like in Blackjack, you must play perfect strategy.
The strategy you would employ for a Jacks or better machine
is different from the one for a Deuces Wild game, and so on.
If you are already an avid player, and are interested in becoming
better, try picking up a book that specifically deals with
all the various Video Poker games found in casinos today.
The second main factor that figures into your expectation
for winning is the game's payout schedule. This is the table
you see on machines displaying how many coins it returns based
on units bet and winning hand combination. If you didn't already
know, just like slot machines, some video poker games offer
a much better return rate than others. But, unlike their one-armed
counterparts, it is easy to spot which machines are high-paying
thanks to the conveniently placed pay table displayed on each
game. The chart below shows you what to look for.
While browsing the video poker choices at a casino, either land
based or online, be sure to keep an eye on the pay schedules. Here's
what to look for: the numbers in the first column on the chart to
the right represent the payout rates for Full Houses and Flushes
at one unit bet. If you see a Jacks or better game that shows a
Full House pays 9 units, and a Flush pays 6, then you know the return
rate for that particular game is approximately 99.5%, making it
a solid bet. Ideally, finding a machine that is 10/7 or 9/7 is the
best bet, because these machines have a payout percentage over 100.
Does that mean they actually pay out more than they take in? It's
pretty unlikely. Casinos aren't in the game to give out more than
they take in. Even with a mix of high and low-paying games, casino
operators know the machines that return over 100% will still make
money because not everyone who plays them is an expert. Just like
in Blackjack, only a small fraction of all players are skilled enough
to play with a positive expectation of winning. Once you have mastered
the basic strategy for a type of video poker, and find a high-paying
machine, then you can expect to make money in the long run. What
does this mean? It means that after about 50,000 hands, the odds
dictate that you will have hit every possible hand combination,
including the coveted Royal Flush. Sure, that sounds like a lot
of hands, but this game can go very quickly, especially for experienced
players. It is not uncommon for a skilled video poker player to
turn in 750 hands an hour - and even more if that person is playing
two machines at once. If the player keeps this blazing pace up for
eight hours a day, it will take just over eight days for the player
to reach an expected win of around 1,750 credits. You can see why
some people are very serious about this game - because you can really
win at it. The only drawbacks are the time commitment required,
and the potential swings in bankroll. Just because the odds say
you should get a royal flush every 40,390 hands doesn't mean it's
guaranteed. You could go five times that many hands a never hit
one, or get five in the first hundred hands. Both scenarios are
equally improbable, yet quite possible. Such is the allure of chance.
Such is the allure of video poker.
Odds of Hands (Jacks or Better)
Hand
Odds
Payout
units
Royal Flush
1 in 40,390
4,000
Straight Flush
1 in 9,148
250
Four of a kind
1 in 423
125
Full House
1 in 86
45
Flush
1 in 90
30
Straight
1 in 89
20
Three of a kind
1 in 13
15
Two pair
1 in 7
10
Jacks or better
1 in 4
5
This chart represents the pay schedule of a 9/6 Jacks or Better
game playing the maximum five unit bet. The reason you should always
play the maximum five units because this bet is required to win
the 4,000 coin (or max) jackpot. If you got a royal flush playing
only one or two coins, the payout would not be proportionally equal,
so there is a strong incentive to always play take the five coin
bet. If five credits per hand is too steep for your bankroll, there
should be plenty of .25 machines for you to play. Online casinos
always offer bets in multiple denominations, generally having a
range that includes .25, .50, 1, 2, 5, and sometimes even 10 and
20 credit betting units.
From studying the Jacks or Better payout odds table above, you may
notice an inequality between the true odds and payouts of certain
hands. Despite the fact that a full house is more likely to happen
(1 in 86) than a flush or a straight, it has a larger payout. This
goes against the grain in that the rest of the schedule is set up
to reward hands that are less likely with higher payouts. Why is
this? Again, game makers have slightly adjusted the payouts, but
in this case it actually favors the player. In terms of payout percentages,
there is a variety among video poker machines just like there is
with slots. Remember, the lower-paying 8/5 video pokers are likely
to be more common. Some casinos don't even feature the 9/6 variety.
And, you definitely won't see any at bars, strip clubs, or the airport.
So be choosy. It's what will give you the positive expectation to
win and what will make playing more fun!
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