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Poker Game Odds
Without a doubt, Poker is one of the casino games in which
understanding the odds can bring players a sizable advantage
over opponents. Just like Kenny Rogers sang in The Gambler,
it's all about knowing when to hold 'em, and when to fold
'em. The odds in the game of poker are similar to those of
blackjack in that they are constantly shifting as cards are
dealt. Figuring out what they are and whether or not they
favor you at any given moment can be estimated by considering
a couple variables. First, you know that your odds of landing
a particular card, like the ten of diamonds, is 1 in 52. And
that your odds of landing a card regardless of suit is 4 in
52. As cards are removed from the deck, the odds will shift
accordingly. Depending on what game you are playing, there
will be more or less information available to influence your
appraisal of the odds at each stage. For instance, if you're
playing common five-card stud, you will only be able to make
predictions based upon the cards you have in your hand. For
games like Pai Gow and three card poker where the dealer's
cards are usually laid out for you, more access is provided
to help determine your odds of making a hand.
There are just under 2.6 million different hand combinations possible
in poker. The chart to the right illustrates which ones are most
and least likely to happen. As you can see, the high-ranking hand
of Royal Flush is only expected to happen once every 649,740 hands
while a low-ranking hand of a single pair should happen about every
other hand.
Implied Odds
When you're playing any one of the numerous variations of pot poker,
where you and other players vie for the chips in the middle of the
table, an important factor that helps determine the odds of making
your hand is the implied odds. The implied odds refers to the risk,
or chance of getting the card you need, versus amount of money in
the pot plus the amount you can expect to get from fellow players.
If you believe that there is enough loot in the pot (combined with
what other players have yet to contribute) to cover the odds of
you making your hand, then it is the right call to proceed with
your bet. For example, if you have two pair and need a five or a
jack to complete a full house, and you figure the odds of getting
one of the remaining fives or jacks to be 8 to 1, then there should
be at least eight times your wager sitting in the pot (or thereabouts
by the time everybody is done).
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